Predicting prep sports not as easy as baseball

Predicting prep sports not as easy as baseball

When it comes to watching baseball, Scott Ferguson knows what he is talking about.

While any of his predictions pale in comparison to the time I told him, early in the 2013 season, that Bostn’s Jonny Gomes was going to hit a huge three-run pinch-hit home run sometime during the season, most of his calls have been on the mark.

(Note: Gomes did exactly that in Game 4 of the World Series in St. Louis.)

On Saturday, Fergi sent out a text message to his few his friends detailing how the baseball season would have unfolded until that point.

Here are what he says the standings would have looked like as of Saturday morning:

Fergi even predicted that the Yankees would lose three home games to rain outs because the organization did not have the foresight to build a roof over the new stadium it constructed a little more than a decade ago.

That right there is next-level prognostication.

Proving that his predictions were not just a shot at the perpetually overrated Yankees, Fergi picked the Bronx Bombers to be sitting two and a half games ahead of the cellar-dwelling Baltimore Orioles.

I might not have been so optimistic for the Yanks, but who am I to second guess Fergi’s baseball expertise?

The Red Sox would have likely extended their lead in the division by beating up on the Cleveland Indians in a four-game set that concluded with Monday’s Patriots’ Day win, as the runners of the Boston Marathon jogged on by.

While Fergi nailed the American League East, not even his great prognosis could tell you what we are missing in the spring high school sports season that, so far, has been wiped out by the stupid coronavirus.

Right now, we’d be in the middle of a stretch of perhaps the three best track meets of the season. Today would have been the Russ Pilcher Western Montana Top 10 meet in Missoula.

I can guess that Butte High junior Anna Trudnowski would have defended her title in the high jump and that Tommy Mellott, Tucker Winston and Quinn Sullivan would have competed for the Bulldogs.

I would have liked Butte Central’s Cutter Thatcher’s chances to win the 400.

Last Friday would have been the Swede Dahlberg Invitational at the Charlie Merrifield Track inside the Gene Fogarty Complex. (Try beating that sentence for mentioning Butte sports legends.)

The weather was actually pretty good, and Butte High would have had a chance to contend for the title of the boys’ meet. The Optimist, an all-girls meet, would have been Saturday.

This coming Saturday would be Butte Central’s John Tomich Invitational, and the track season would be heading toward crunch time.

Butte High’s softball team should be hosting Missoula Hellgate in a Western AA doubleheader this afternoon. By now, we should be getting a idea of just how good the Bulldogs were after being hit hard by graduation last year.

The Maroons, who should be coming off Southwestern A home games against Corvallis and Hamilton, should be heading to East Helena to take on the new school.

Butte Central’s tennis teams should be in Great Falls today to take on Havre, just three days after taking on Corvallis and Hamilton at Father Sheehan Park. The Maroons should be looking forward to the huge Bitterroot Invitational Saturday in Hamilton and Corvallis.

The Bulldog tennis teams would be getting ready for a big tournament Friday and Saturday in Missoula. It would be their second-to-last action before returning to Missoula for the Western AA Divisional tournament May 13-14.

We have missed so much, and we very well could find out later this week that we will miss the rest of the spring sports season.

Just what we have missed is impossible to tell.

Which athlete or team would have came out of nowhere? Who would be turning heads of college scouts?

The great unknown of sports is what makes it so exciting and so much fun to watch. Not even the greatest of sports prognosticators could tell us how great this spring season would have been.

Predicting high school sports is much more difficult than forecasting the American League East.

— Bill Foley, who will still argue politics, writes a column that usually appears Tuesdays on He plans to write more frequently during the coronavirus lockdown. Email him at Follow him at

Posts Carousel

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked with *

Print this Page

Print Friendly, PDF & Email